I am thrilled, after a two-year hiatus, to convey again my picnic basket price of NCAA Event goodies. March Insanity bracket fiends, that is for you. A heaping useful of info, stats, traits, did-you-knows and extra that may increase your thoughts, and probably strengthen your bracket, upfront of the NCAA Event.
It is CBS Sports activities’ annual cornucopia of nuggets that will help you higher perceive who’s good, who’s overrated, and why the information — broadly — may also help you curb your instincts.
The Large Dance begins in lower than 48 hours. Fill out your bracket now to win a model new Nissan Rogue and a university basketball dream journey. Get within the motion in the present day.
I make no ensures of success, however I do guarantee you that you will be smarter and extra ready to dive proper into the deep finish of your pool when you scroll via the whole lot I’ve laid out beneath. Let’s examine the proof. Along with my very own analysis, all more information supplied by CBS Sports activities’ analysis staff, the NCAA, KenPom.com, ESPN Stats & Data, Elias and BartTorvik.com.
- Highest-scoring staff: Gonzaga (92.1 factors per recreation)
- Lowest-scoring staff: Mount St. Mary’s (63.7 factors per recreation)
- Quickest staff: Gonzaga (74.8 possessions per recreation)
- Slowest staff: Virginia (60.1 possessions per recreation)
- Finest free-throw taking pictures staff: Oral Roberts (82.6%)
- Worst free-throw taking pictures staff: Rutgers (63.2%)
- Finest 3-point taking pictures staff: Baylor (41.8%)
- Worst 3-point taking pictures staff: Texas Southern (27.7%)
- Most skilled staff(s): Georgia Tech and Texas Southern (2.54 common seasons)
- Least skilled staff: North Carolina (1.02 common seasons)
- Tallest staff: USC (common top 79.6 inches)
- Smallest staff: Abilene Christian (75.1 inches)
- Deepest bench: Winthrop (42.2% of minutes performed)
Best offenses, adjusted factors scored per 100 possessions:
- Gonzaga (126.1)
- Iowa (124.2)
- Baylor (124.0)
- Ohio State (123.0)
Best defenses, adjusted factors allowed per 100 possessions:
- Loyola Chicago (85.9)
- Alabama (86.0)
- Tennessee (87.0)
- Illinois (87.6)
Over time, groups which have received all of it have checked quite a lot of containers. You can also make the stats inform you quite a lot of belongings you need to hear. However when you’ve received a top-30 per-possession D and a guard that is positively projected to be drafted, you’ve got received a stable shot. Solely a handful of groups meet this standards annually. Six apply now. 4 have two clear draft-worthy guards.
82: That is the 82nd NCAA Event. Thirty-six packages have received a nationwide title relationship to 1939, when Oregon received its solely championship. All 4 groups from the primary Remaining 4 are within the discipline this yr: Ohio State was runner-up again in ’39; Villanova and Oklahoma had been semifinalists. Georgetown, a 12, is the lowest-seeded staff on this yr’s discipline with a nationwide title.
0: The Gonzaga Bulldogs, Baylor Bears and Illinois Combating Illini are the best-seeded groups within the discipline with no nationwide title.
20: Gonzaga is the twentieth staff to enter the NCAAs undefeated. Seven of the earlier 19 received a title, however none since 1976, that means none within the trendy period — because the event expanded in 1985.
39: The proportion of brackets at CBS Sports activities which have Gonzaga successful all of it. Illinois is second (19%).
33.3: Gonzaga’s share to win the title, based on Bart Torvik. For perspective, prime groups usually hover round 15-20%, so Gonzaga is a dominant favourite. The highest 5 for this yr: Gonzaga, Houston (13.2%), Baylor (8.3%), Illinois (7.6%), Michigan (6.7%).
1: Solely thrice has the No. 1 total seed received the NCAA Event because the choice committee started rating the No. 1s in 2004: Florida (2007), Kentucky (2012) and Louisville (2013). The No. 1 total seed has additionally misplaced within the second spherical thrice — and the primary spherical as soon as. (UMBC eternally.) Gonzaga is that this yr’s No. 1 total seed. It is the fourth time the Zags have made the highest line.
13: Oklahoma State has 13 wins towards groups within the discipline, essentially the most of any staff taking part. Groups with no wins towards 2021 event groups: Abilene Christian, Appalachian State, Cleveland State, Colgate, Drexel, Grand Canyon, Hartford, Iona, Liberty, Morehead State, Mount St. Mary’s, Norfolk State, North Texas, Oral Roberts, Texas Southern, UC Santa Barbara.
2: Simply two occasions since 2011 the WAC has despatched a staff not named New Mexico State to the NCAAs. This yr it is Grand Canyon, which is making its first NCAA Event look.
0: Infamously, no staff has misplaced its first convention event recreation after which received a nationwide title. This yr, you ought to be suspicious of West Virginia, Purdue and Villanova — solely groups seeded fifth or higher that had been one-and-done of their league tourneys.
12 of twenty-two: Previously 22 tournaments, 12 nationwide champions received their convention event.
26: On this coronavirus-affected shortened season, Gonzaga and Belmont have essentially the most wins within the sport at 26 apiece. Gonzaga is the No. 1 total seed; Belmont was snubbed from the 16-team NIT. Gonzaga is the one undefeated staff, whereas Colgate and Winthrop are uncommon instances of mid-major groups getting into the NCAA with only one loss. The final staff to do it was Murray State in 2012. It is the primary time within the trendy period of the NCAA Event that two one-loss mid-majors are enjoying in the identical event.
13: Maryland’s 13 losses are essentially the most within the discipline. It is the primary time because the NCAA Event expanded in 1985 to 64 groups that an at-large staff (and a staff from an influence convention) has essentially the most losses getting into the Large Dance.
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41: It has been 41 years since St. Bonaventure received a first-round NCAA Event recreation, the longest drought for any staff within the discipline that has beforehand made the event. Per ESPN’s analysis, 211 colleges have received a recreation because the final time the Bonnies did.
7-0: Naturally, Gonzaga’s received the very best neutral-court document in faculty basketball this season at 7-0. Who’s No. 2? Texas: 5-0.
0/17: Alabama is the one staff this season to not have confronted a Quad 4 opponent. Illinois confronted 17 Quad 1 foes, essentially the most of anybody in faculty hoops, and went 12-5 in these video games.
-26: Baylor’s line towards Hartford — for now — is the most important of the primary spherical. When Gonzaga will get matched up with its No. 16 seed, likelihood is good that may turn into the most important line. This is each line for each Friday and Saturday recreation.
10: Coaches with top-four seeds to by no means have made a Remaining 4. Gonna have some contemporary new faces on the most important stage this yr.
- Juwan Howard (Michigan) — although he made it as a participant
- Brad Underwood (Illinois)
- Scott Drew (Baylor)
- Fran McCaffery (Iowa)
- Chris Holtmann (Ohio State)
- Nate Oats (Alabama)
- Eric Musselman (Arkansas)
- Leonard Hamilton (Florida State)
- Matt Painter (Purdue)
- Mike Boynton (Oklahoma State)
7 for 10: In seven of the previous 10 NCAA Tournaments, no less than one No. 13 seed has defeated a No. 4. The preferred No. 13-over-No. 4 choose at CBSSports.com is Ohio over Virginia (17%).
23.0: Common margin of victory for No. 1 seeds over No. 16s within the trendy event. No. 1 seeds are 139-1.
6 or fewer: It took UMBC 33 years to turn into the primary No. 16 seed to win. When will we see it once more? Seven occasions a No. 16 seed has completed a recreation inside six factors or fewer of a No. 1 seed. These outcomes had been: 2013 Southern vs. Gonzaga (64-58); 1996 Western Carolina vs. Purdue (73-71); 1990 Murray State vs. Michigan State (75-71 in OT); 1989 McNeese State vs. Illinois (77-71); 1989 East Tennessee State vs. Oklahoma (72-71); 1989 Princeton vs. Georgetown (50-49); and 1985 Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Michigan (59-55).
2016: The final time all 4 No. 1 seeds reached the Elite Eight. Earlier than that, it was 2009.
2009: The final and solely different time one convention had as many as three No. 1 seeds. It was the Large East; Pitt, UConn and Louisville all did it. The Large Ten has two No. 1 seeds this yr for the primary time since 2001.
2008: Famously, the one time all 4 No. 1s reached the Remaining 4. However since 2010, solely 13 of the 40 Remaining 4 appearances have come from No. 1 seeds.
1-4: You nearly by no means wanna go all chalk on the prime within the first spherical. In 2017, all No. 1s 2s, 3s and 4s received their first-round recreation. Previous to that, the final time that occurred was 2007. It is occurred simply six occasions since 1985.
57 vs. 51: No. 1 seeds have made the Remaining 4 57 occasions. That is greater than the mixed Remaining 4 showings of Nos. 4-16 since seeding started (51).
No. 2: Solely two occasions up to now 23 NCAA Tournaments have all 4 No. 2 seeds made the Candy 16. It is occurred simply 5 occasions since 1985: ’89, ’95, ’96, ’09, ’19. Choose no less than one No. 2 to lose early. It is most likely going to occur.
12: Each seed, from No. 1 to No. 11, has made a Remaining 4. When does a No. 12 do it? This yr the choices are Georgetown, Oregon State, Winthrop and UC Santa Barbara. Georgetown and Oregon’s mixed document: 30-24. UCSB and Winthrop: 45-5.
7: Although 7-10 video games really feel a bit like 8-9 video games, they are not. No. 10s have by no means swept the No. 7s aside from one yr. No. 8 seeds are 68-72 vs. No. 9 seeds all time, together with going 0-4 in 2019.
10>8+9: You are extra more likely to make the Candy 16 as a No. 10 seed than as both an 8 or 9. No. 10s are 18-32 vs. No. 2 seeds, whereas No. 8s are 13-56 and No. 9s are 6-64. Breaking down the maths additional: No. 10 seeds traditionally have a 16.4% likelihood of creating the Candy 16, whereas the mixed possibilities for No. 8s and No. 9s is 14.3%. Seeding issues. A No. 7 seed has made it to the Candy 16 27 occasions since 1985. Distinction that to a No. 8, which has solely gotten there 13 occasions.
63.5-to-1: Per bracketodds.com’s calculator, these are the possibilities we’ll have 4 No. 1 seeds attain the 2021 Remaining 4. Should you go to all 2s, it is 366.0-to-1. Three No. 1s and a No. 2 — a highly regarded combo this yr — is 23.9-to-1.
9,223,372,036,854,775,808: The variety of totally different attainable bracket outcomes. Questioning learn how to pronounce that quantity? I received you. That might be 9 quintillion, 2 hundred twenty-three quadrillion, 300 seventy-two trillion, thirty-six billion, eight hundred fifty-four million, seven hundred seventy-five thousand, eight hundred eight. It is a lot bigger than the variety of attainable outcomes seen by Physician Unusual in Avengers: Infinity Battle.
9: The Large Ten’s 9 bids lead all conferences. It is a Large Ten document as effectively.
33: Duke, thirty third at KenPom, is the very best staff in that metric to not make the event. It ends a run of 24 straight tournaments for the Blue Devils.
42/72: Penn State’s No. 42 NET rating makes it the highest-rated staff to not make the sector, whereas Wichita State’s No. 72 rating is the bottom of any at-large on this yr’s discipline. The NET has existed for 3 years. St. John’s No. 73 rating in 2019 is the bottom for any at-large staff.
20 of 21: A top-three seed has received the nationwide title 20 of the previous 21 tournaments.
7: In eight of the previous 9 tournaments, a No. 7 seed or decrease has cracked the Elite Eight. However it didn’t occur in 2019. Will this all-in-Indiana event result in extra chalk or extra cacophony?
1-33: The Large South has existed since 1986. It is 1-33 all time within the NCAA Event. The one win? Winthrop again in 2007. Can this yr’s Eagles do it once more vs. Villanova?
5 for 16: Gonzaga’s made the Candy 16 in 5 straight tournaments. No different staff has a streak longer than three.
27: It has been 27 years since a No. 6 seed made the Remaining 4. Who was it? Chris Webber and the Fab 5 at Michigan. The very best-rated No. 6 seed per KenPom is USC (14th), which boasts potential top-three choose Evan Mobley.
1: This yr’s No. 1 seeds have one mixed nationwide title (1989 Michigan). It is the fewest amongst all 4 No. 1s in any NCAA Event since 1990.
30 … 0: That is BYU’s thirtieth NCAA Event. The Cougars maintain the document for many NCAA Event bids with out zero Remaining Fours. Missouri is second on this regard; the Tigers are of their twenty eighth Large Dance.
+.190: Cleveland State, a No. 15 going through No. 2 Houston, charges because the “luckiest” staff within the discipline, per KenPom. Previously 17 NCAA Tournaments, the luckiest staff within the discipline misplaced its first recreation 15 occasions. The unluckiest staff: Texas Tech.
20+: There have been three 20-point upsets, per the unfold, within the NCAA Event since 1985: No. 15 Santa Clara (+20) over No. 2 Arizona in 1993; No. 15 Norfolk State (+21.5) over No. 2 Missouri in 2012; No. 16 UMBC (+20.5) over No. 1 Virginia in 2018.
25/23: Tennessee coach Rick Barnes shall be making his twenty fifth look within the NCAAs. Tennessee as a program has been right here two occasions fewer: 23.
1,766: The space because the crow flies from San Diego Worldwide Airport to Indianapolis, making San Diego State’s journey the longest to the centrally situated NCAA Event within the Hoosier State.
77%: Drake has the very best cowl share of all NCAA Event groups at 77%. UConn is second at 76%. The most popular cowl groups getting into the dance are Hartford, Texas, LSU and Norfolk State, every of which have coated of their previous 5 video games.
14: A No. 14 has crushed a No. 3 in 4 of the previous seven NCAA Tournaments.
14: Everybody is aware of Gonzaga has the longest successful streak heading in, however San Diego State’s 14 straight dubs rank second.
14: Iona is making its 14th NCAA Event look. It is essentially the most appearances with no win in class historical past. Sadly, second-seeded Alabama awaits on Saturday.
2: The variety of groups making an NCAA tourney debut. Welcome to the membership, Grand Canyon and Hartford!
0 for 38: The Northeast Convention remains to be the one league that has by no means received a first-round NCAA Event recreation. Mount St. Mary’s must get previous Texas Southern — after which Michigan — to finish the streak.
31: Most consecutive NCAA tourneys: Kansas (31), Michigan State (23), Gonzaga (22). Kansas’ Invoice Self, absurdly, is teaching his twentieth straight NCAA Event as a No. 4 seed or higher.
20: Mixed nationwide championships for packages within the East Area, the many of the 4 areas. The faculties: UCLA, UConn, Michigan State, Michigan, Georgetown, Maryland.
33-9/.786: UNC has the very best NCAA Event document/win share since 2008 (minimal of six video games performed).
102: There have been 102 colleges which have performed no less than 5 first-round NCAA Event video games since 2000. The one a type of colleges to go undefeated within the first spherical is UNC, which final misplaced in its first event recreation in 1999 vs. Weber State. If UNC beats Wisconsin, it will likely be 18-0 since.
47: A No. 12 seed has received 47 first-round video games because the discipline expanded 1985. The 1988, 2000, ’07 and ’15 and and ’18 tournaments are the one ones because the discipline expanded to not have a No. 12-seed win. In 2019, three 12s did it. Previously 11 tournaments they’re are 19-25 vs. No. 5s. Do not overlook No. 11s, although. That is nonetheless an actual upset, and within the final 4 tournaments, No. 11s are 9-7 vs. the No. 6s.
.793: Michigan State coach Tom Izzo’s win share within the second spherical and Elite Eight. He’s 23-6 in these video games (i.e., on two-day turnaround). Ought to Michigan State get out of the First 4 and first spherical, it will probably face No. 3 Texas within the second spherical. Izzo is 6-4 all time vs. the Longhorns.
24-17: Since seeding the sector started, No. 1 seeds have extra nationwide titles (23) than the remainder of the seeds mixed (17).
10-15: Choose no less than one double-digit seed to achieve the Candy 16, as a result of it has occurred all however two years since ’85 (1995, 2007). And 15 occasions there have been no less than three double-digit seeds that made it to the regional semifinals.
7: Since 1980, there have been seven reigning champions which have made the Remaining 4 the subsequent event. It hasn’t occurred since Florida in 2007, and Virginia’s definitely received an enormous mountain to climb by being in Gonzaga’s area.
8 for 9: In 2019, the development ended, however the eight NCAA Tournaments earlier than that noticed one of many final 4 groups into the field– that performed within the First 4 — make it to no less than the second spherical. Michigan State, UCLA, Drake, Wichita State. Will we go 9 for 10?
+200: Gonzaga’s odds to win the entire thing, based on William Hill Sportsbook. It is the identical quantity undefeated Indiana had in 1976. And we all know what occurred.